It's barely the summer of 2007, and yet political pundits are in full swing; handicapping the races, crunching the data, and calling for Al Gore to jump into the race.
This is nothing new, of course. During the 2004 election season, rumors were rife that Gore would throw his hat in the ring and run for the office which, according to some, was rightfully his. The speculation only finally stopped after Gore endorsed grassroots candidate Howard Dean. Perhaps it was Dean's fervor that appealed to Gore - but given Gore's affinity for technology, one can safely assume that he was also intrigued by the Dean campaign's savvy use of the Internet. Unfortunately, Dean lost to Kerry in the primaries, and anyone who lived through Election Day 2004 knows the rest of the story.
Now, four years later, progressives are clamoring for Gore to ride to the rescue. The Daily's Blythe Lawrence directly addressed Gore in a column last fall:
"I’m sure many of those people you shook hands with out on the campaign trail would tell you that when they take stock in their lives, they have one big regret: the lover forsaken, the job not taken, the path down which they decided not to wander. Please don’t let yourself and the world wonder what could have been had you been president in 2008 the way the world (and you, I assume) wonders what could have been had you been commander in chief in 2001."
The prospect of Gore as president is appealing, but here's why he shouldn't run, at least not this time around:
First, as Gore himself has said, he's rediscovered his true passion. In an article by Time, aptly titled, 'The Last Temptation of Al Gore,' he maintains that he's "fallen out of love with politics." In contrast, when it comes to to global warming: "I have enjoyed the luxury of being able to focus single-mindedly on this issue."
Secondly, assuming Gore were able to shake his dislike for conventional politics and run a winning campaign, upon assuming office he would be forced to turn his attention from his central passion towards other pressing issues. The next president, whoever she is, will need to devote her full attention to dealing with the aftermath of the Iraqi invasion, both at home and abroad. This will leave little time to implement a full transition to a 'greener America.' At present, Americans are less inclined towards a new revolution than they are towards stability and the chance to catch their breath after the turbulence of the Bush years.
However, if Gore does seek a return to electoral politics, there is another, better alternative - one that meshes his environmental passions with political sense in the same way that Dean harnessed technological know-how for fundraising prowess.
Most of the flawed policy of the past few years - including the central issue of this period, Iraq - stem from the fact that the two-party system has fundamentally broken down. If the Republicans have been reckless in their approach to foreign policy, the Democrats have provided little opposition and, as in the case of Iraq, have often acted as willing accomplices. Two of the three current Democratic front-runners voted for the war, and who can forget John Kerry's classic gem: "I voted for the [war funding] before I voted against it." As Edmund Burke said, all that is necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing.
In politics, as in business, competition is healthy and necessary; and conditions are ripe for the emergence of a third party. As Howard Fineman notes:
"If I were a GOP strategist – or a Democratic one – I would be worried by Arnold’s body language. He and other major independent actors on the political scene – New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and former Vice President Al Gore, chief among them – comprise a Third Force that could upset two-party politics as we know it in the 2008 presidential race.
"Indeed, although there is no formal alliance, Schwarzenegger, Bloomberg and Gore have formed a mutual admiration society that has huge potential implications for 2008. They have come to share similar visions on the urgency of the global warming and health care crises, and a similar impatience with politics as usual."
Unlike Fineman, I don't think that Gore should run this election cycle; as I said previously, most progressive energy should be focused on keeping the Republicans out of the White House, and bringing the Bush chapter to a close.
However, as soon as the polls close on Election Day 2008, Gore should explore the possibility of an alliance with the Green Party. Gore, unlike Nader in 2000, would be an ideal candidate. His passion for environmental causes meshes perfectly with the Green Party's core beliefs, and he is obviously a viable presidential candidate, having already won the popular vote once. In the interim between 2008 and 2012, Gore could continue his campaign against global warming while helping to strengthen the Green Party's infrastructure. If he can help elect some Greens to Congress in 2010, who knows what might result? As he himself noted in the earlier TIME article:
"I am under no illusions that any position has as much ability to influence change as the presidency does. If the President made climate change the organizing principle, the filter through which everything else had to flow, then that could really make a huge difference."
With Gore's popular support and the Green Party's national infrastructure, the Greens might be established as a credible third political party by 2010; and then, with Iraq hopefully behind us, America may finally be ready to entertain the possibility of electing a president that will tackle climate change and put America on the path to sustainable environmentalism. What better 2012 candidate for the Greens, and for America, than Al Gore?
#1 GreenGuy
commented, onMay 29, 2007 at 3:24 p.m.:
Yes, but the Greens stand for other things besides the environment. Would Al Gore be committed to the Ten Key Values of the Green Party:
Social Justice
Community-Based Economics
Nonviolence
Decentralisation
Future Focus/Sustainability
Feminism
Personal and Global Responsibility
Respect for Diversity
Grassroots Democracy
Ecological Wisdom
Would he get behind the Green platform calling for banning corporate campaign contributions, single payer health care, instant runoff voting, and the commitment to nonviolence?
I'm rather skeptical that he would be take up these positions that Greens have been calling for for so long, especially keeping corporations accountable and out of politics, but like you said, if he did run it would do wonders for building the party.
#2 NotAGreenGuy
commented, onMay 29, 2007 at 4:14 p.m.:
It is probably next to impossible that Gore would leave the Democratic party to lead the green party, in my view.
Here is one point.
You've said: "The next president, whoever she is, will need to devote her full attention to dealing with the aftermath of the Iraqi invasion, both at home and abroad. This will leave little time to implement a full transition to a 'greener America."
Fair enough. But, you do realize that that may means that the global warming crisis would have to wait for 5 or 6 years, which Gore will positively not find palatable, right?
If no candidate convinces Gore that they will make global warming one of their top 2 or 3 priorities, and shows that they're seriously committed to and are capable of getting it done, I think he'll run in 2008.
#3 Roosevelt
commented, onMay 29, 2007 at 9:54 p.m.:
Gore would never run as a third party candidate. It would split the Democrats and guarantee a Republican victory.
#4 Gavin Young
commented, onMay 30, 2007 at 12:11 a.m.:
Interestingly during the 2000 Presidential race one of the things that Ralph Nader campaigned for was to sharply reduce Payroll tax rates in exchange for taxing pollution. Ralph asked Al to adopt at least a few of the Nader proposals, but Al chose not to adopt that one. But in a few interviews of Al Gore that I've seen recently, Al is promoting that very same proposal of Ralph Nader! Maybe this does show that Al is moving more towards the Green Party, however Al was in favor of the invasion of Afganistan whereas the Green Party is opposed to that war. The Green Party also wants Israel to go back to their 1967 UN resolution boundaries in order to bring more justice to the Israel-Palestine issue, but no US President (to my knowledge) has dared to urge Israel to do such a thing and I don't think that Al would dare campaign on such a thing. Further, Green Party candidates only accept small contributions and only from individuals, if Al adopted such a policy for a political campaign it is doubtful that he could raise enough money (even if he relied heavily on the internet for the fundraising).
For a third party to win, it would have to run as a centrist so that it attracts approximately an equal number of voters from the Republican Party (including those leaning to that Party) and from the Democratic Party (including those leaning to that Party), so that potential voters won't be afraid of the spoiler effect (such as what happened in 1992 when Ross Perrot ran and in 2000 when Ralph Nader ran). Such a party might also appeal to many people who have never voted before. I think that an effective Third Party should include the following positions: both pro-peace (including the establishment of a federal Department of Peace) and pro-life, both pro-environment and pro-fiscal restraint (balanced budget and perhaps including a national sales tax to replace the national income tax). Though such a party would be centrist bu pulling about an equal number of people from the right and left, it would also be a radical party because it would pull people from the far right and the far left. The most active Republican and Democratic voters are those on the extremes sides of those parties, and a centrist party of the "radical center" type might get a lot of their votes. For example I'm sure their are a lot of conservative Christians (including Catholics) are both opposed to abortions and opposed to other forms of violence, including wars. A radical center type centrist party would also attact a lot more of excitement than a middle of the road type centrist party.
#5 Gavin Young
commented, onMay 30, 2007 at 9:54 a.m.:
A better match (than the Green Party) might be for Al Gore to run as a Reform Party candidate (see their platform at http://reformparty.org/platform.htmht... ) or an American Reform Party candidate (see their platform at http://www.americanreform.org/platfor... ). Both of these parties now promote taking care of the environment. Ralph Nader ran as a Reform Party candidate in a few states in 2004 (in addition to running as a Green Party candidate in other states).
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